Is OPERF really beating the market? Or is the Treasury just hiding risk?

February 15, 2023

At the House Committee on Emergency Management, General Government, and Veterans on 2/9/2023, Treasurer Read announced that the Oregon Employee Retirement Fund (OPERF) was the “#1 performing fund in fiscal year 2022” and “over the past 20 years.”


This statement poses a question: How did OPERF suddenly beat the market with such “exceptional results?”


As reported in the industry publication, Pensions and Investments (1), OPERF did better while other state funds had negative returns, not because of doing better in publicly traded equities (stocks), which lost money even for OPERF (-13.3%) -- but because of its relative overweight of high risk “alternative” funds. 60% of OPERF is now held through alternative private contracts, such as investments in private equity, hedge funds, commodities, and real estate / infrastructure, with only around a quarter (2) in lower risk publicly traded equities. This level of high risk private investment is almost twice as high as most other state pension plans (34%%) (3)


Importantly, the value of these private investments and their returns is set, not by the market, but by “expert appraisals that may differ meaningfully from the true market value. (4) ” Because of private contract fee structures and incentives, such appraisals tend to overstate value and respond only slowly to market trends. For the 2022 fiscal year, OPERF showed (5) a 29.6% return on real estate, a 24% return for private equity, and 23% return for other real assets, all values set not by the market, but by asset managers who garner their fees based on returns.


Bottom line: While other state pension plans with larger exposures to public equity showed losses as the market dropped, OPERF continued to report inflated values for its large portfolio of protected private investments, inflating its returns, and suddenly making it appear “the #1 performing fund” for fiscal year 2022.


Does this matter to the legislature? Treasury’s latest PERS By the Numbers report (6) (December 2022) projects that OPERF’s funded status will decrease from 86.4% in 2021 to 79.1% in 2022 with the unfunded actuarial liability increasing from 20% to 26.6%.


As the Equable Institute (7) points out in their report “State of Pensions 2022: National Pension Funding Trends,” state pension plans have not recovered to their pre 2008 recession level of 93.8% funding and face a future of “muted returns.” They emphasize that the system remains “fragile” – faced with inflation and geopolitical instability -- and that the threat of legislatures having to face the politically fraught and contentious process of increasing contributions or cutting benefits can only be mitigated by intense risk management.


PERS beneficiary will be glad to hear when the plan does well – although Treasurer Read did not report that six months later, at the end of the calendar year, OPERF reported a yearly total loss of 1.55%. (8)


PERS members will be more reassured when there is an honest and transparent presentation of the obvious risks the plan faces, supported by data, with specific plans to manage those risks. For me, this is not only financial market risk but also includes climate risk, such as was presented to Treasury in November 2022 by the ORTEC climate risk assessment report they commissioned but seem to have ignored for now over a year.


Support HB 2601 to bring an increased level of transparency, accountability, and risk management to our State Treasury. Glossing over the risks that are increasingly well documented in the pension industry is perhaps the greatest risk of all to the future of PERS, its beneficiaries and contributors. We need legislation to make sure that does not happen.


1 https://www.pionline.com/pension-funds/oregon-public-employees-pension-fund-returns-63-strength-private-equity

2 https://www.oregon.gov/treasury/invested-for-oregon/Documents/Invested-for-OR-Performance-and-Holdings/2022/OPERF-12312022.pdf

3 https://crr.bc.edu/wp-content/uploads/2022/11/IB_22-20.pdf

4 https://crr.bc.edu/wp-content/uploads/2022/11/IB_22-20.pdf

5 https://www.pionline.com/pension-funds/oregon-public-employees-pension-fund-returns-63-strength-private-equity

6 https://www.oregon.gov/pers/Documents/General-Information/PERS-by-the-Numbers.pdf

7 https://equable.org/pension-funding-trends-2022/

8 https://www.oregon.gov/treasury/invested-for-oregon/Documents/Invested-for-OR-Performance-and-Holdings/2022/OPERF-12312022.pdf

Divest Oregon conversation with Coast Range Radio: Why is Oregon’s Treasury Addicted to Fossil Fuels
June 13, 2025
“The statewide coalition Divest Oregon has been calling out the Treasury’s dirty investments for several years now, and they have also put out policy proposals, research, and legisl ation to shift our investments to help foster a clean energy economy.” — M Gaskill, Oregon Coast Radio Specifically, the conversation covers: The Pause Act (SB 681) which focused on new private fund investments in fossil fuel infrastructure like pipelines and LNG export terminals The Treasurer’s legislation ( HB 2081A ) on some movement toward net zero, a just transition, and reporting to the legislature and public The Climate Risk Report on the need for a paradigm shift in the Treasury’s thinking as to the financial impact of the climate, especially on public employees now in their 20’s, and the need to act together with other pension funds to direct the 11 trillion they manage toward mitigating future climate impact The addition of a fossil fuel free fund as an investment choice under the 529 College Education Plan - sign the Green529.org petition Divest Oregon’s inside/outside strategy This half-hour conversation is a terrific snapshot of Divest Oregon’s work. Find it on almost any podcast app - here are a couple: Spotify Apple Podcasts
May 27, 2025
Pension fund managers are confronting a tumultuous financial landscape. What is creating uncertainty? Inflation, tariffs, artificial intelligence, the energy transition, an oversupply of liquid natural gas, the rise of private equity and private credit… and the unique risk of climate change, which is the mother of all risks. Why is climate change an overriding risk to financial portfolios? Divest Oregon’s Rick Pope explains why in the Divest Oregon 2025 Climate Risk Review: No Place to Hide , a deep dive into current climate, economic and investment research. It stresses a core theme: The portfolio of retirement funds cannot be diversified to offset the risk of unabated climate change. There is nowhere for fund managers to hide from the fact that the entire portfolio of investments will be affected by climate catastrophe. Why is this important? Public pension funds in the US control nearly $11 trillion in assets of nearly 36 million state and local beneficiaries who depend on their funds to support their retirement. How fund managers invest the funds in their care can influence the market and influence public policy. Praise for the report from Treasurers, academics, and climate activists provides insight into the report’s impact. As the report documents, acting now to offset climate change will cost far less and harm asset values far less than accelerating climate change. Acting together, fiduciaries can move the market by investing in climate solutions, rather than financing climate destruction. How does the Climate Risk Report fit into the rest of Divest Oregon’s current work to pressure the Treasury to stop investing in fossil fuels? Divest Oregon submitted testimony in support of the current Treasurer's bill to reduce emission-creating investments in the portfolio. Oregon’s Treasurer is the first in the country to put forward a legislative mandate to consider climate risk and just transition in its investment decisions as it moves toward a low-carbon economy ( HB 2081 ). The Treasurer’s proposed legislation ( HB 2081 ) requires a just transition to clean investments. Divest Oregon and allies are working to articulate steps to implementation of this provision by the Treasury. The legislation has a reporting requirement. Transparency is an issue since approximately half of the PERS retirement fund has been invested in private investments, generally called private equity, which are currently secret. Reporting is a key tool in measuring progress toward reducing climate risk to the portfolio – and to all of us. A major part of our ongoing work is to pressure the Treasury to create a comprehensive and rigorous plan to stop the portfolio from contributing to climate degradation. Divest Oregon has a new campaign to encourage the Treasury to add a fossil fuel free option to the Oregon 529 Funds . The release of the 2025 Climate Risk Review clearly and unequivocally puts the Oregon Investment Council and the Treasury on notice that they must act to protect PERS assets from the risk of depressed values from climate change. As fiduciaries who must protect the financial well-being of their beneficiaries, their mandate is to assess risk – and climate change is an overriding risk – and factor it into their investment and resource allocation decisions. Confronting the impact of climate is the essence of their job.
April 5, 2025
Divest Oregon introduced The Pause Act ( SB 681 ), with Chief Sponsor Oregon Senator Jeff Golden’s support, to enact a five-year moratorium on new or renewed Treasury investment in private fossil-fuel funds. Why The Pause Act? For the past 50 years, the finance sector has dangerously re-written the rules of the global economy, including here in Oregon. Wealth has been extracted from our communities while our greenhouse emissions skyrocket. At the leading edge of this transformation has been the aggressive expansion of the private investment sector, generally referred to as private equity, which has over a trillion dollars in fossil fuel investments. The Oregon PERS portfolio is heavily weighted to private investments, which make up approximately half of the fund. The Pause Act is based on a key provision in past Treasurer Read’s net zero plan – which recognizes that portfolio emissions cannot be meaningfully reduced without ending new investment in long-term private funds holding fossil fuels. In the year since Treasurer Read announced his plan, to the public’s knowledge there has been no constraint on new private fund investments in fossil fuels. The Pause Act introduces transparency by requiring reporting to the public on progress under the bill. Current Treasurer Steiner has made a commitment to emission reduction of the portfolio. The Pause Act highlights the need for urgency, reflecting the impact of the climate crisis on all Oregonians and on the PERS portfolio. Why The Pause Act has no path forward When Divest Oregon asked for amendment discussions on The Pause Act with Treasurer Steiner, she said she would focus only on the Treasury’s HB 2200. That bill proposes a goal of limited emission reduction and reporting, with no mention of private investments. The Chair of the Committee hearing SB 681 offered to work with all stakeholders toward a bill acceptable to all parties. Instead, the Treasury crafted two statements in opposition to The Pause Act, and so the bill died in committee despite an outpouring of public support. This support was captured in the article from Oregon Capitol Chronicle (March 20, 2025). What did the Treasury argue in opposition to the Pause Act… and what is the Divest Oregon response? The Treasury sent written opposition to The Pause Act to key legislators and union representatives that are on the Treasurer’s Beneficiary Advisory Committee. The pre-committee hearing Treasury statement and the Divest Oregon response was distributed to the Treasury and to the recipients of the opposition statements. In a filed statement of opposition , the Treasury put forward arguments that are problematic. Divest Oregon has expressed these concerns to the Treasury as follows: While Treasury argues that SB 681 would limit diversification, SB 681 does not stop Treasury from having a diversified strategy. There is nothing in the bill that says Treasury should stop investing in private equity, real estate, or real assets – which are the major components of their private investments. Private investments are not always providing strong returns. Treasury’s testimony on returns compared private equity with public equity returns. That comparison was a selective misdirection. The Real Assets asset class, which are private investments, produces double the emissions intensity to the PERS portfolio than the Private Equity class, and yet those returns weren’t reported in their testimony. The Real Assets class actually has lower 5 & 10-year returns than Public Equity. (For more details, see the Divest Oregon full response to their testimony.)
February 7, 2025
In December 2024, the Oregon Treasury published their Oregon Net Zero Plan 2024 Annual Report . Kudos to Treasurer Read for creating a Net Zero Plan and publishing the 2024 annual report before leaving office. Treasurer Read’s strong statement that climate risk is financial risk is essential context for the report. Divest Oregon published this analysis of the 2024 annual report including the following sections: Transition Readiness Framework/Carbon Intensive Review Manager Activity/Private Investments ESG Integration/Forming Alliances and Engagement Investing in climate-focused funds Proxy Voting Stewardship and Universal Ownership Divest Oregon strongly recommends the following: The Treasury's report should be sent to all PERS beneficiaries and prominently displayed on the Treasury website. Stakeholder input should be solicited during the formulation of Treasury action in this sphere and before the publication of the next plan report.
Oregon waterfall
January 14, 2025
“First-in-the-nation” Pause Act will protect Oregon retirees from private equity’s overexposure to fossil fuels
January 14, 2025
Few public pension fund trustees have adopted a plan to address the risk of climate change to their portfolio. Oregon should be applauded as one of them, yet how does Oregon’s proposed plan compare to the major net zero plans of other US public pension plans? Divest Oregon has just released a comprehensive and detailed Comparison of US Pension Funds' Net Zero Plans Report . It allows the Oregon Treasurer and the Oregon Investment Council (OIC) to see what other fiduciaries are planning, to adopt best practices, and to change OIC policy as needed. Climate change is moving fast, and the report should be used by Oregon PERS and all fiduciaries to move faster in implementing a strong plan.
November 13, 2024
The newly released 2024 Private Equity Climate Risks Scorecard & Report by our allies, Private Equity Stakeholder Project, Global Energy Monitor, and Americans for Financial Reform Education Fund, gives us new insight into private equity firms and OST investments in these secret funds. Twenty-one major private equity firms manage $6 trillion in assets – and two-thirds of the energy companies in their portfolios are invested in fossil fuels. Oregon state employees’ pension plan (PERS) invests in 11 of these 21 funds.
September 26, 2024
Above: Natural coastal area of the proposed Rio Grande LNG terminal. Credit: Dylan Baddour/ Inside Climate News Below: Artist Rendering of the Rio Grande LNG project (Photo: Business Wire , 11/21/2019)
August 19, 2024
A recent article in Chief Investment Officer reported that the University of California had solid returns mostly stemming from a fund that excludes tobacco and fossil fuel investments: The University of California’s endowment and pension fund each returned more than 12% for the fiscal year ending June 30, boosting the total asset value of the university’s investment portfolio by $16 billion to $180 billion. Some $1.3 billion of that $16 billion gain came from a single S&P 500 index fund—one which excludes tobacco and fossil fuel investments—that provided the portfolio with its single biggest investment gain. We assume the OIC and Treasury would be thrilled by these types of returns, given the drag that private investments are causing to the portfolio returns, and the continuing liquidity problems of private funds. UC invests where they have a strong conviction while fulfilling their fiduciary duty. The two are not mutually exclusive: “This past fiscal year was about investing only in what we fully understand and taking full advantage of low-fee index funds guided by what we call the UC Investments Way,” said UC CIO Jagdeep Singh Bachher in a statement. “It’s about simplicity and leveraging our scale to concentrate on areas where we have strong conviction.” Bachher added that he believes the U.S. and “its resilient economy and thriving innovation ecosystem … is the best place to invest,” and the UC system has backed that up by allocating approximately 75% of its portfolio to domestic investments. We look forward to seeing the OST swiftly shift a significant portion of OPERF to index funds that exclude fossil fuels and to end any consideration of new investments in private funds that are laden with fossil fuel assets, as described in the Treasurer’s Net-Zero Plan. Collectively the country has moved past climate denial. The Oregon Treasury and the Oregon Investment Council should not get mired in solution denial . The solutions for a healthier pension and planet are available now!
August 6, 2024
A recent Bloomberg article explains that Oregon PERS made critical energy flow to the Putin regime possible, by enabling an LNG terminal. How? A $500 million financial commitment made in 2020 with $209.3 million is still available for investment, even after Treasurer Read said he would “Stand with Ukraine” and OIC agreed to end all Russian investments. This long-term, locked-in commitment of funds is one of reasons Divest Oregon continues to question private investments – especially since they are often laden with risky fossil fuel companies. Private investments comprise over half of the PERS portfolio . Background: The Oregon Treasury committed $500 million to the Stonepeak Infrastructure Fund IV in 2020 . In fact, the Treasury has been investing in Stonepeak Infrastructure Funds since 2012 . The commitment to a private fund is a long-term one. Once that commitment is made, the Treasury can only exit that fund at a steep loss, and once the commitment is made, the Treasury had no say in specific investments by the fund managers. Bloomberg reported that pension funds, including Oregon, enable the largest Russian LNG export terminal to function. Stonepeak invested in Seapeak LLC, which provides ice-class carriers specifically designed to carry Russian LNG from the Arctic. The carriers are only used for this purpose and are essential to the gas terminal. The investment by pension funds enables critical revenue flow to the Putin regime. The Bloomberg article states: The California Public Employees’ Retirement System, known as CalPERS, is one of the investors in Stonepeak’s fund and it said in response to a Bloomberg query that it had already raised concerns with the general partner. ‘We believe that Russian investments pose a material risk to our long-term investment success and have taken actions, consistent with our fiduciary duty, to remove these assets from our portfolio,’ John Myers, chief of Calpers’ office of public affairs, said in a statement. ‘We will continue monitoring events to ensure our partners’ actions are consistent with our investment beliefs.’ The Washington State Investment Board, Oregon Public Employees Retirement Fund, New York State Common Retirement Fund and the Teachers’ Retirement System of the State of Illinois declined to comment. Divest Oregon asked the Oregon Investment Council in one of our many emails to them: Is this a responsible investment, or a material risk? There were no sanctions violated, but does this uphold the pledge to “Stand with Ukraine” made by Treasurer Read and backed by the Council? We also asked: Do the long term risks justify continued new investments in predominantly fossil fuel private funds? We request that the OIC insure that there are NO NEW investments in fossil fuel investments especially in the private investment or bonds/credit markets. Digging the hole deeper makes no sense when you are already over target allocations in these private investments. Image: A Russian ice-breaking LNG Carrier. Source: VCG/Visual China Group/Getty Images
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